Current State of US-Russia Relations
My
previous post was a quick overview of the history behind US-Russia
relations. It was critical in that it challenged generally accepted
theories. I engaged some important questions on matters of principle,
and presented my perspective on the authenticity of the Cold War, and
the relevancy of NATO.
On
this post, I analyze the current state of US-Russia relations. I
consider the recent rhetoric, from both the academic and political
perspectives. I briefly comment on the recent actions taken by both
sides, and offer my expectations on the future of their foreign
relations.
Recent Rhetoric: Academic Perspective.
Some academics describe the current state of Russia’s relations with the West as a “new cold war”.i Among such voices, a notorious example is journalist Edward Lucas, a senior editor at the British magazine The Economist.ii
In his book, “The New Cold War: Putin's Russia and the Threat to the
West”, he presents Russia as an imminent danger the West should not
ignore.iii
On
the preface of the 2014 edition, Mr. Lucas writes, “Vladimir Putin’s
background and views heralded repression in Russia and aggression
abroad…if we did not do something about him soon…he would do something
nasty to us later… those warnings… have proved too cautious…Abroad,
Russia has waged war with Georgia, conducted large menacing military
exercises against Poland… [and] has, in effect, invaded and occupied
part of Ukraine”.iv
He
presents instances that appear to be strong, fact based accounts
detailing murders, international assassinations, political
imprisonments, and the use of psychiatry as instrument of torture.v
One powerful instance was the tragic death of journalist, Mrs. Anna
Politkovskaya, of whom Mr. Lucas writes, “our mutual friend Anna
Politkovskaya had just been gunned down in the entrance to her home… She
was the foremost critic of the Kremlin’s savagery in crushing the
rebels in breakaway Chechnya”.vi
He also relates, “a week later Aleksandr Litvinenko…was poisoned with a
rare radioactive isotope…his last words directly blamed Mr. Putin for
his murder”.vii These cases allegedly evidence the evil deeds he charges upon Mr. Putin.
Mr.
Lucas noticeable aberration could be understood as influenced by the
ideals of his parents. He confides that he, “grew up in an Oxford
academic household deeply committed to fostering freedom of thought
behind the Iron Curtain. My father smuggled Plato’s Republic and the
Greek Orthodox New Testament into Czechoslovakia”.viii
His parents’ ideals had their impact in Mr. Lucas’ sentiments towards
the Soviet Union, as he admits, “In the early 80s I campaigned for
Poland’s Solidarity trade union”.ix
Although
the repression, political persecution and international assassinations
he claims are based on actual events, Mr. Lucas fails to analyze them
within their proper historical context, on a case by case basis.
Mrs.
Politkovskaya’s case is of particular interest here. I consider it a
case of misplaced courage. Her criticism of Russia’s handling of the
Chechen conflict came within the context of repeated terrorist attacks
in diverse parts of Russia, carried out by Chechen separatists. The
Moscow Theater Hostage Crisis, where 120 innocent hostages lost their
lives, is a startling example. It shocked the international community.
Her
criticism of the government’s handling of the Chechen war, in light of
the constant terrorist attacks, was considered inappropriate not only by
Russian officials, but also by the public. In contrast, Politkovskaya
had great reception in the West. Her reporting provided plenty of
political munition to Russia’s detractors abroad, fact which was also
offensive to many Russians, who considered it unpatriotic propaganda.
I
strongly stand against any kind of assassination, however, it is very
likely that Mrs. Politkovskaya was murdered by radicalized third
parties. Mr. Lucas relates that she was murdered as Mr. Putin celebrated
his 54th birthday. He believes the timing of her death was planned as a
birthday gift to Mr. Putin.x
Her death being a birthday present to Mr. Putin actually exculpates
him. It would only blame him as the motive behind the murder.
History
shows that Mrs. Politkovskaya’s criticism of the Chechen war was
misguided. Chechen rebels overflowed the files and ranks of ISIL. They
bombed the Boston Marathon. They hurt a community that embraced them and
gave them hope, a home, and education, meaningful work and a great
opportunity. Those cases proved that Chechen separatists are savages who
deserve nothing less than what Putin delivered them. History backs
Putin on this one. His handling of the Chechen conflict was actually
correct, even with its many natural deficiencies.
Urban
Terrorism is purposely designed so that you cannot fight it effectively
within the legal framework of neither Human Rights or the Geneva
Convention. That feature is what makes Terrorism so dreadful a weapon,
and so attractive to the soulless perpetrators.
Curiously enough, history shows that Terrorism and the Declaration of
the Rights of Man share a common origin.xi Like my grandmother, God rests her soul, used to say, “those who made the law, made the trick”.
In addition, the markedly spiced tone of Mr. Lucas raises some red
flags. For it is the epitome of incendiary rhetoric. Such speech equates
political propaganda. For an example here, Mr. Lucas writes, “...which
Russia, militarily weaker but mentally more resolute, has a decisive
advantage.”xii
This is inflammatory in that it presents a scenario where a weak Russia
taunts the North Atlantic alliance, and actually bullies it. Would the
U. S. tolerate bullying by Russia, which is now less powerful than the
Warsaw Pact? Would it not be embarrassing, if someone publicly called
that out? The rhetoric suggests an implicit invitation to aggression
against Russia. It implies that because Russia is weaker, the West has
the opportunity to take advantage.
Mr.
Lucas is a master of mixing shame with fear. For shame and fear he
combines masterfully in his next statement, “[the ‘decisive advantage’]
encourages over-confidence by the Kremlin, with all the concomitant
dangers of miscalculation and escalation”.xiii
In other words, the West is better off acting, and acting now. I could
paraphrase the two quoted texts together, by saying, “why let a weak guy
bully you? Fight him! If you let him continue, things will get worse!”
Denigration
flows its downward spiral, as Mr. Lucas hammers Putin on a personal
level. Lucas portrays Mr. Putin with derogatory adjectives like “cold”
and “sinister”, “nostalgic for the Soviet past” and with “a deep belief
in Russia’s historical destiny”.xiv In his biased characterization of Vladimir Putin, Lucas contradicts himself.
For
example, Lucas latter stated that Russians love Putin. This suggests
that either his statements about Mr. Putin are incorrect, or that
Russians are stupid because they still love Mr. Putin. Even worse, in
granting Putin their unwavering support, Russians would share the blame
for enabling an alleged criminal. Such generalization criminalizing an entire
nation suggests prejudice. It is also counter historical.
Mischief
delves into new lows, as Mr. Lucas digs deeper into personal issues,
and wanders into Vladimir Putin’s intimate life. He criticizes
intimacies of Mr. Putin’s marriage, echoing seemingly unverified rumors
of adultery and of the vanishing of Mrs. Putina. Had he done the same
thing to other political figures we have heard of, his publisher would
have most likely rejected his manuscript as a slandering pile of
non-sense no amount of editing could correct.
But Lucas got a free pass, because his book is sheer anti-Russian propaganda. In my book, Rise of the Sadducees, I cite the wise words of Josh Gilder who once said, “It does not matter with propaganda if your facts are wrong”.xv
The
fact that Mr. Lucas has been busy attending TV appearances in every
major cable news channel in England, the USA and elsewhere attests to
his book’s nature as propaganda. Adding weigh to our point here is the
fact that the book received commending reviews by almost every outlet of
printed mass media as well. Obviously, influences who have deep pockets
seem very interested in disseminating slander against Mr. Putin.
But
what are the scholars who are recognized as the leading sages of
international relations saying? What are the academics who have mastered
the history and politics of the Cold War responding to the approach
taken by Edward Lucas?
From
very early in his academic and scholarship career, Dr. Morton A. Kaplan
has objected to the apparent blanket rejection by Western politicians
of Russia and its government. Dr. Kaplan, who defines himself as a
strong ideological opponent of Marxism, sustained for several decades
that the Soviet Union was more diverse politically than what met the
naked eye. His opinion came in the heat of the Cold War. He sustained
that Russians were not hard-nosed Communists unwilling to reason with
the West across the board. He suggested diversity of opinion, even among
high-ranking Soviet government officials, even if diluted in political
dissimulation. Dr. Kaplan argued for the possibility of fruitful dialog
that could end the Soviet Union as an ostracized enemy of the West. He
insightfully predicted the Fall of the Soviet system since the early
eighties.xvi
Contrary
to Mr. Lucas, Dr. Kaplan is both a high-caliber scholar. I consider him
a diplomat Honoris Causa, whose wisdom we must thank for opening a
channel of dialog between East and West through productive academic
interaction. While Edward Lucas got great reviews and his book was
showcased on every major news media outlet, what did Dr. Kaplan get? He
laments in one of his latest essays that his series of four books did
not get much of a fan fare.xvii
Another high caliber academic, whose political stance I consider to be
close to Dr. Kaplan’s, is the international relations scholar Dr. Robert
Legvold. Dr. Legvold is among the most highly recognized experts on
international affairs and more specifically in US-Russia relations. In
2008, Doctor Legvold put together a team of scholars to work on an
advisory project the US and Europe could use as a lifeline in their
dealings with Russia. This fine group of experts conquered in calling
for US policies toward Russia that promote dialog and cooperation
between the two.xviii
Recent Rhetoric: Political Perspective.
Over
the last decade, Politicians in the U. S. have been less than
reasonable in their handling of verbal utterances concerning Putin and
the Kremlin. Western European politicians, though following their
somewhat more polished diplomacy tradition, at least on the public eye,
nevertheless have been equally as tenacious, aggressive and incisive.
The
political rhetoric in the US and Europe pins the Russian Government of
every evil from expansionism, militarism, and bullying its neighbors, to
violating the rights of gays, silencing NGOs, and the arrests of
protesters.
On
an individual level, however, some politicians in the U. S., for
example, have been especially cutting with their sharp criticism of Mr.
Putin. This pattern has somewhat united both Democrats and Republicans,
as they finally seem to have found something they can work together on:
Bashing Mr. Putin. Famous for their utterances in this sense are
Senators Chuck Schumer, John McCain, Marco Rubio, Bob Graham, and many
others.
During
the Republican primaries, former Governor of Massachusetts, Mitt
Romney, referred to Russia in terms of the greatest threat menacing the
United States, Europe and the World in our times.
Nancy
Pelosi, Barbara Boxer and many others have joined in to attacking the
Russian president and his record on Human Rights, Gay Rights and
tolerance of political opposition. Some have also criticized Russia on
grounds of religious liberty, as Muslims and Jehovah’s Witnesses
complain of experiencing discrimination in different parts of the
Russian Federation.
I
find two fundamental problems with this anti-Russia rhetoric. The first
is that is assumes that Westerners are at liberty to impose their views
on others. So, because our societies are subjected to accepting Gay
Rights as a matter of Constitutional Law, we tend to demand that Russia
follows our lead as a condition of integration. In those highly
politicized issues, our politicians are not willing to tolerate dissent,
let alone opposition. The concept of diversity only applies to the
inclusion of Gays in society. It does not apply to the acceptance of
countries who do not see eye to eye with our politicians. Of course, as
long as that country is called Russia. For we do see Ms. Merkel, for
example, complaining much about the treatment of Gays in Saudi Arabia.
Former President Barack Obama didn’t seem to mind much either. Why would
they complain about the treatment of gays in Chechnya, when they
discriminate against gays for the same religious reasons Saudis do? Why
are Saudis given the green light, but Russian Orthodox Christians and
Chechens are not?
The
second basis why I object to the political rhetoric, is that it assumes
that everyone has to adopt democracy. Democracy is not the Law of God,
and it definitely isn’t written in stone. As a matter of fact, the
world’s oldest societies have never known or even smelled Democracy.
Democracy was originally imposed by the force of arms and the rage of
sharp cutting guillotine blades, have we so soon forgotten?
Are
we still trying to use weapons to impose Democracy? Sanctions,
embargoes, military strikes, invasions, rhetoric, you name it. How
democratic is all that? What about live and let live? Does it only apply
when referring to lifestyles religion is at odds with? Or does it apply
as a general principle? Does not Democracy call for freedom and self
determination? What if the self determination of religious societies
exclude homosexuality? Should we go all around the world imposing
homosexuality all over, and use weapons to subdue those who refuse?
For
that seems to be what was done to Americans and Europeans by their very
“democratic” leaders, doesn’t it? Did we have a vote here in the USA to
decide whether we want gay marriage? What about the vote of
Californians who refused gay marriage in a landslide, yet a judge
silenced their voice, and invalidated their vote. But, of course, their
vote was annulled only after gay marriage was overwhelmingly rejected by
the people. Is that what we call “Democracy”? And is that the reason
why we want to impose it overseas, because it was imposed here onto us
in the first place? That is not “Democracy”. That is tyranny, abuse and
hypocrisy.
Actions Taken by Both Sides.
Base
on the rhetoric, both sides have taken consequent action against each
other. The United States and the West, however, deserve the designation
of “aggressors” as they took the initiative and launched the first
shots.
The
diverse types of action taken by both parties of the political
stand-off ranged from the closure of some consulates, to the expulsion
of diplomats, economic sanctions against both country and citizens (as
least from the United States against some Russian politicians and Putin
supporters).
The
Syrian civil war saw the possibility of reenactment of the proxy wars
of the Cold War, as the United States and the West found themselves
backing one side and Russia backs the other. The recent bombings by the
Trump administration of some Syrian Government positions in response to
alleged use of chemical weapons by the Syrians exacerbated that
possibility.
A
case in focus of the utmost importance here is the Ukrainian civil war.
It rends the heart seeing beloved Ukrainians killing their own
countrymen. The Ukrainian crisis has been brewing for many years. Since
the days of Ukrainian Prime Minister, Julia Temochenko, and her feud
with Vladimir Putin over natural gas and pipeline negotiations, through
the days of her electoral defeat and later incarceration under charges
of economic corruption, a Western response has been on the works.
The
Arab spring, a series of anti-government revolts in the Middle East,
and the “occupy” movement, extended their influence into the Ukraine,
where very likely the West invested heavily to agitate part of the
populace and initiate anti-government protests. As about a
hundred-thousand took it to the streets to protest the government, the
millions of government supporters who stayed at home were ignored. An
illegal coup ousted the democratically elected government, and the West
was swift to recognized the unconstitutional temporary government that
replaced it, and its mock electoral process where less than 20% of
Ukrainians took part.
As
most Ukrainians consider themselves Russians, most citizens of the
Ukraine broke out in civil war. The Crimeans held a vote where over 80%
of the population voted, and over 85% of the population voted to
officially become a part of their motherland, Russia. Of the remaining
Ukrainians 2/3 of them are still fighting to restore legitimacy to the
Ukrainian government.
The
Ukrainian conflict is a dirty war of the West against Russian
reintegration. The West fears the potential reconstitution of the former
Soviet Empire, but now on an open market, capitalist platform. For if
after adopting Western like capitalism, and engaging full unrestricted
trade with the nations of the world, China could rise from rock-bottom
shambles into a world class economic empire, so high so soon, can you
imagine what the fifteen republics of the former Soviet Union could
accomplish? And what if those fifteen republics united on an open market
platform, and then China came under their wing? Who could resist such
an alliance?
So
the machinery of propaganda went to work to convince a slim, yet
influential minority of Ukrainians, that a future with the West was more
promissory than being discriminated against by the Commies from Moscow.
And the rest is history.
What does the future hold for US-Russia Relations?
In
my previous post, I emphasized the friendly relations the United States
cultivated with Russia during the first hundred and ten years or so, of
its existence. It was only after Russia was overtaken by strangers who
despised Russian culture and traditions that the great relationship both
countries enjoyed was interrupted. After the Communists who stole
Russia from Russians collapse, the rational consequence would be the
reestablishment of friendly relations between the two. This simple
reasoning is of utmost importance to our understanding of history. Here
is why.
The
first brake-up between the U. S. and Russia was due to a change in
Russia. Russia had fallen onto some influences who wanted it isolated
from the rest of Europe. Why? For some reason those “influences” work
very hard to prevent the unity of Eastern and Western Christianity.
Russia is the throne of the Bishop of Constantinople. It is the kingdom
of the successor of Cesar, or as Russians call him, the Tsar.
As
over the last 27 years Russians freed themselves from those influences,
however, the United States came under their suzerainty during WWII. So,
the original “change” that caused the first rupture between the two
friends actually shifted from one side to the other. So, as Russia is no
longer Communist, those influences are inventing excuses to keep the
most powerful countries representing Western and Eastern Christianity
from forming an alliance. Such alliance, however, would be extremely
beneficial to both countries, not only from a national security and
world peace perspective, but moreover, from a purely economic point of
view.
Therefore,
up and until the United States and Western Europe brake free from such
“influences” there is going to be conflict with Russia, not because
Russia wants conflict, nor because Russia provokes it, but because those
“influences” manipulate political leadership in the U. S. and Western
Europe to make sure conflict with Russia exists for as long as Russia
rejects their influence.For more on the historical background of those “influences”, see my book, Rise of the Sadducees.
Copyright © 2017. Daniel Santos
All Rights Reserved.
ENDNOTES:
i Legvold, Robert. “Foreign Affairs.” Foreign Affairs, vol. 87, no. 3, 2008, pp. 153–153., www.jstor.org/stable/20032687.
ii Lucas, Edward. The New Cold War: Putin's Russia and the Threat to the West. Macmillan, 2014.
iii Lucas, Edward. Ibid.
iv Lucas, Edward. Ibid
v Lucas, Edward. Ibid
vi Lucas, Edward. Ibid
vii Lucas, Edward. Ibid
viii Lucas, Edward. Ibid
ix Lucas, Edward. Ibid
x Lucas, Edward. Ibid
xi “Eric
von der Luft points out that the French Revolution is the recognized
origin of “terrorism” as a political and national security issue”.
Santos, Daniel. “Rise of the Sadducees”. 2017; See also: “"The terms
‘terrorism’ and ‘terrorist’ came into the language in the 1790s when
British journalists, politicians, orators, and historians used them to
describe the Jacobins and other particularly violent French
Revolutionaries." (Eric von der Luft. “Terrorism, Philosophical and
Ideological Origins.” Gale Encyclopedia of Espionage, 2Ed, V3. Pg. 148).
xii Lucas, Edward. Ibid.
xiii Lucas, Edward. Ibid.
xiv Lucas, Edward. Ibid.
xv
Gilder, Josh. “PBS's 'Evolution' series is propaganda, not science”.
Center for Science and Culture. Discovery Institute. 2001.
<http://www.discovery.org/a/1054>
xvi
Kaplan, Morton A. “POSTSCRIPT ON THE SOVIET CRISIS AND US-RUSSIA
RELATIONS.” International Journal on World Peace, vol. 27, no. 3, 2010,
pp. 43–47., www.jstor.org/stable/23266501.
xvii Kaplan, Morton A. Ibid.
xviii “US Policy Towards Russia”. Bulletin of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. Vol. 63, No. 4, 2010, pp 2-2.
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